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Ligue 1 France Week 34 Analysis | Ligue 1 Betting Tips

 

Genesis is an expert on all things French football and runs an excellent Twitter channel here. There is a whole lot more to Ligue 1 than simply PSG, Messi, Mbappe and Neymar.  It is increasingly becoming a highly entertaining league with a wealth of young and exciting talent.

Each week, Genesis will be sharing his inside knowledge on the happenings within French Football and Ligue 1, so you can be well equipped to spot value betting opportunities each week.

 


 


Week 34 – Ligue 1 Betting Tips | French Football Betting

The games are coming thick and fast and today I’m taking a look at games where we should see multiple goals and/or goals from both teams. Last time out I predicted multiple goals but the wrong winner as Bordeaux beat St Etienne 3-2. I also failed to pick Strasbourg as the winner against St Etienne but was right that it was going to be tight. I did though (thank goodness) correctly predict that Monaco would sneak past Nice in a low scoring affair. And with another quick turnaround, it’s onto the next lot…

Check out our mid-season review of the 2022 Ligue 1 season here

 

Here are the latest betting odds for Ligue 1 at the time of publishing:

Let’s take a look at this week’s focus games for game week 34.


 

LYON vs MONTPELLIER

 

Lyon, fresh off the back of an emphatic win against Bordeaux, managed to continue the theme of their season by losing to lowly Stade Brest on Wednesday. Classic Bosz. Classic Lyon. They are now slipping rapidly out of the race for European places. Seven points off Monaco and with a difficult run-in. They were bad against Brest, back to their old habits.  Wasteful upfront and loose at the back. Ekambi’s late withdrawal did not help. He’s just about the only Lyon player who can finish chances with regularity at the moment. And despite this, I still expect Lyon to sneak a win against Montpellier. They can’t possibly continue to miss as many good chances as they have been. Squad rotation will likely play a part for Lyon. Montpellier too are on the slide. One win in their last eight. They are closer to the relegation battle than they are to the European places. Pre-season optimism dashed. Perhaps the sale of both Andy Delort and Gaetan Laborde are beginning to bite. The creative pressure is maybe too much even for the wizardry of Teji Savanier alone. But he and Florian Mollet, Elye Wahi and dare we say, Remy Cabella do pose a danger. And Lyon’s crazy high defensive line and general defensive confusion mean that I think Montpellier will score in this one. It could be a high scoring affair. I hope so. Something for both sets of fans to enjoy after seasons that have slipped away.

 

 


 


 

Ligue 1 – Both Teams To Score – Betting Odds


 

Paris SG vs LENS

 

This is one where the odds are a little too heavily in PSG’s favour. I do think they’ll win but they won’t have it all their own way. They have been putting up some pretty emphatic scores recently. And Kylian Mbappe is getting more and more destructive. However, as we all know by now, PSG give up plenty of chances to every team they play, no matter their quality. Lens are a good team. Inconsistent but good. And they have the ability to create high-value chances. This should be a good game. And one in which I think both teams have a good chance of scoring. PSG could win the title if they win and other results go their way. Lens have everything to play for with European qualification still very much a possibility. And Lens are definitely finding some form in what has been an inconsistent season. Three wins on the bounce against Lille, Nice and Montpellier. They’re three points off Monaco and the European places. And so, with both sides motivated, we’ll see goals. 

 

 

 

 


 

Ligue 1 – Over 2.5 Goals – Betting Odds


 

NANTES vs BORDEAUX

 

Nantes were incredibly unlucky to draw against Angers last weekend missing a plethora of big chances (24 shots, 6 big chances). Anthony Mandrea was inspired in Angers’ goal. Nantes then lost out to Marseille midweek in a fun game for the neutral, 3-2. A not unexpected result bearing in mind OM’s form. Quentin Merlin and Randal Kolo Muani were rested for the OM game. Blas was also pulled off at halftime. They should all be ready for a full 90 at the weekend.  And they will have no trouble scoring against Bordeaux (79 conceded now this season). But, Nantes have shown a propensity to leak a goal or two recently and Bordeaux are definitely capable of scoring against pretty much any team in the league. I do predict Nantes to win this at home, probably by more than a goal. But they will also likely concede chances and maybe even a goal or two themselves. Their European dreams are all but over and I imagine some of the players will already be dreaming of Sun, sea and sand. Bordeaux are fighting to stay up. 


 

CLERMONT vs ANGERS

The odds are too heavily weighted in Clermont’s favour. I’m not sure it is that clear cut. Angers have been losing but, have been causing bigger teams difficulty.  They have drawn with Lille and Nantes recently as well as narrowly losing to Lyon. Clermont are not a bigger team than Angers. Yes, they won midweek. Yes, they are a threat, especially in the shape of forward Mohammed Bayo. But, they are worse than Angers. And they concede goals. Plenty of them. Both of these teams are now fighting desperately for their Ligue 1 lives. Angers’ poor recent form (1 win in their last 12 games) has seen them dragged into the relegation battle for real. They are only two points ahead of Clermont. Sofiane Boufal’s fitness status is key for them and worth monitoring heading into the weekend. He came off after 13 minutes midweek. He is their top scorer and assists provider. Both teams will score here, in what will probably be a draw.

 

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