MLS 2022 Week 4 | MLS Betting Tips

Our model sees some value on the road team in Miami. I would lean a bit more toward the home team here. Cincy is working on its defence but it has never had issues going forward. At home I think they put a few past Miami and hold on for the win. This could certainly be a crazy game though so the real pick is the over 2.5. I do like BTS as well but you are getting more value with over 2.5. If you want to get really aggressive you could go for 3.5 or even 4.5 as this seems like a 3-2 or 3-3 type of game to me.

To be fair Atlanta has not hit full speed yet, they are still sputtering a bit as they try to get everyone healthy and match fit. Surely the five stripes can handle a Montreal team that has been through a war in CCL and we don’t expect to be particularly high in the standings anyway. On their day Montreal could make this game interesting, but they need the international break to hit the reset button. Montreal have shown a ton of character and fight so if this game stays reasonably close that is probably why, but in the end even 75% of Atlanta should be enough to get three points in the Benz.

Long time readers of the column (basically means this isn’t your first time reading) know that we have been fading Charlotte hard so far to start the season. Each game Charlotte gets closer and closer to finally getting its first point.They will get it eventually, maybe this is the week? This really depends on how New England responds to Wednesday night’s shocking defeat. They could come out on fire and just overwhelm Charlotte, they are certainly the better team. Or they could come out flat just trying to get to the international break. Check the lineups before you bet this game, it’s possible NE could be missing Bou, Farrell, Turner and Kessler. That’s a bunch of firepower on a team that isn’t particularly deep to begin with. Either way Charlotte is pretty

resolute at the back. Carles Gil probably does a Carles Gil thing for a goal but outside of him there isn’t a ton of offense in this game. The pick here is the under 2.5. Maybe even Charlotte to win or draw if NE has enough guys out.

This game is one of those check the lineups games. I have a feeling Seattle is mostly out of gas after Thursday night in Leon. They do get an extra day’s rest as they play on Sunday but we may see a rotated Seattle here. Austin has become a dangerous team, especially at home so if Seattle does rest I think Austin makes them pay for it. The key guys here are Joao Paulo, Nico Lodiero, and Ruidiaz. If none of them play, it’ll be tough for Seattle to break down Austin. They may hit one on the counter but Austin is fully capable of making a tired defense pay multiple times.